Table of Contents
RAP Annual Scientific Report 1999
I. INTRODUCTION
A. Mission
B. Historical Perspective
C. Approach to Technology Transfer
D. Strategic Goals
II. MOST SIGNIFICANT ACHIEVEMENTS DURING 1999
A. Meso-gamma Scale Prediction System Operational at Three Army Test Ranges
B. Mount Washington Icing Sensors Project (MWISP)
C. Development and Implementation of Aviation Digital Data System (ADDS)
D. Transfer of Weather Support to Deicing Decision Making (WSDDM) System to ARINC
E. Buffalo Creek Flash Flood Prediction Studies Using Radar, TITAN, 4DVAR, and MM5 Mesoscale Model Coupled to a Runoff Model
III. MAJOR SCIENTIFIC ACHIEVEMENTS IN RAP DURING 1999
A. In-Cloud Icing
1. Background
2. Integrated Icing Diagnostic Algorithm (IIDA)
3. MWISP -- The Mt. Washington Icing Sensors Project
4. Predicting Glaze or Rime Ice Growth on Airfoils
5. Freezing Rain as an In-Flight Icing Hazard
6. Development of a New Method to Estimate Cloud Droplet Size and Liquid Water Content Using Dual Frqequency Radar
7. Testing New Icing Nucleation Curves in Detailed and Bulk Microphysical Model Parameterizations
8. Regional Verification of Icing Forecasts
B. Snowfall and Freezing Precipitation
Background
1. Evaluation of the Effect of Wind on the Performance of Snowgauges
2. Evaluation of ASOS Instrumentation to Detect and Measure Winter Precipitation
3. Artificial Snowmaking Machine
C. Convective Weather Forecasting
1. Background
2. FY 99 Field Deployments
3. Thunderstorm Auto-nowcaster Sytem
4. National Convective Forecast Product
D. Atmospheric Turbulence
1. Background
2. In Situ Turbulence Measurement
3. Terrain-induced Turbulence
4. Turbulence Forecasting
5. Remote Sensing of Turbulence
6. Northeast Colorado Turbulence Field Program
7. Verification of Clear-Air Turbulence Forecasts
E. Numerical Weather Prediction
1. Background
2. Development and Testing of an Improved Land-Surface Modeling System for Mesoscale Models
3. Development of Operational Mesogamma-scale Numerical Weather Prediction Systems for Army Test Ranges
4. Use of the Penn State/NCAR MM5 Modeling System for Production of a Mesogamma-scale Re-analysis of Meteorological Conditions during the Gulf War
5. Nested-model Simulation of Moist Convection: The Impact of Coarse-grid Parameterized Convection on Fine-grid Resolved Convection
6. A High-Wind Event in Complex Topography: Comparison of Numerical Simulations with Observations
7. Ensemble Atmospheric Dispersion Simulations Employing a Coupled Atmospheric Dynamic Model and a Dispersion Model
8. Explicit Simulation of Convection over Complex Terrain, and its Sensitivity to the Land-Surface Specification
F. Water Resources
1. Background
2. An Evaluation of Model- and Radar-based Convective Precipitation Estimates for Use in Runoff-model Predictions of Flash Floods in Complex Terrain
3. Water Resource Assessment of the Potential Enhancement of Precipitation in the State of Durango, Mexico
G. Modeling of Land-Surface Processes and Its Application to Numerical Weather Forecasts
1. Background
2. Validating/Improving Land-Surface Models with CASES-97 Data
3. Improving the Parameterization Scheme of the Atmospheric Surface Layer
4. Applying the Coupled Model System to Forecast the 1996 Buffalo Creek Flash Flood
H. Remote Sensing of Precipitation
1. Background
2. Recent Achievements
I. Analysis of Precipitation Enhancement Potential
1. Background
2. Program for the Augmentation of Precipitation in Coahuila (Mexico) - PARC
3. The Durango Rainfall Induction Program (DRIP)
IV. TECHNOLOGY TRANSFER ACTIVITIES
A. Taiwan Advanced Operational Aviation Weather System (AOAWS)
B. Transfer of the Integrated Turbulence Forecasting Algorithm (ITFA) to the NWS Aviation Weather Center in Kansas City
C. 4DWX Technology Transfers
D. Weather Information in the Cockpit
E. Initial National Convective Forecast Product Transferred to Aviation Weather Center
F. Thunderstorm Auto-Nowcast System
G. Technology Transfer of ADDS to the NWS Aviation Weather Center in Kansas City
H. Technology Transfer of the Weather Support to Deicing Decision Making System to ARINC
I. Transfer of Algorithm for Instrument Approaches near Precipitous Terrain to the FAA
V. STAFF AND VISITORS
VI. 1999 RAP PUBLICATIONS
Refereed
Unrefereed