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An international weather forecasting demonstration
project took place from 2 September to 21 November 2000. This period
encompasses the Sydney 2000 Olympics and Paralympics. Five state-of-the-art
forecasting systems from Great Britain, Canada and the U.S. will
demonstrate their ability to forecast thunderstorms, rainfall rate,
wind and severe weather. These forecasting systems are called nowcasting
systems to emphasize the very precise nature of the forecasts. The
nowcasts are for specific times and locations for periods from a
few minutes to 6 hours.
The high potential impact of weather on large
outdoor sporting events such as the Olympics provides an opportunity
to test if state-of-the-art nowcasting systems can provide important
services to emergency managers with crowd control responsibilities
and sporting venue managers who are responsible for event scheduling.
Following the Paralympics in November the World
Meteorological Organization (WMO) will host a 10 day workshop for
countries around the world to get hands-on experience with the participating
nowcasting systems. This is particularly for countries considering
the deployment of advanced Doppler weather radars.
This Forecasting Demonstration Project has been
organized by the World Meteorological Organizations World Weather
Research Program (WWRP). The primary responsibility for forecasting
for the Olympics is with the Australian Bureau of Meteorology. The
WWRP nowcasting systems will be located alongside the Bureau of
Meteorology forecasters as will be meteorologists representing each
of the WWRP nowcasting systems.
The WWRP nowcasting system are:
- Thunderstorm Auto-nowcaster developed by
the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder Colorado.
This system provides 0-1 hour nowcasts of thunderstorms, rainfall
rate, and winds.
- Warning Decision Support System developed
by the National Severe Storms Laboratory in Norman Oklahoma. This
system helps forecasters make warnings of severe storms.
- GANDOLF developed by the United Kingdom
Meteorological Office and Salford University, England. This system
provides 0-3 hour nowcasts of storm cells and rainfall rate.
- NIMROD developed by the United Kingdom Meteorological
Office. This system provides 0-6 hr nowcasts of precipitation rate.
Canadian Radar Decision Support System
developed by Atmospheric Environment Service in Downsview Ontario
Canada. This system classifies thunderstorms by their potential
severity.
The weather observational network will consist
of two Doppler radars, 21 surface weather stations, 3 wind profilers
and an upper-air balloon sounding site.
An international team of experts will independently
verify the accuracy and usefulness of the nowcasts.
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