| WSAP Deputy Director
Weather Systems & Assessment Program (WSAP)
303-497-8468
bgb ucar.edu
Job Duties
Lead RAP's forecast verification program; develop and apply appropriate
verification methods for a variety of types of forecasts; oversee
RAP forecast verification activities and other projects involving
meteorological statistics.
Professional Interests
Forecast verification; value and use of weather and climate information;
aviation weather forecasting; statistical forecasting methods; applications
of statistics in the atmospheric and environmental sciences.
Education
B.S., Colorado State University, 1976, Statistics
M.S., University of Virginia, 1979, Environmental Sciences
M.S., Oregon State University, 1983, Statistics
Selected Publications
Murphy, A.H. and B.G. Brown, 1983: Forecast terminology: Composition
and interpretation of public weather forecasts. Bulletin of the
American Meteorological Society, 64, 13-22.
Murphy, A.H. and B.G. Brown, 1984: A comparative evaluation of
objective and subjective weather forecasts in the United States.
Journal of Forecasting, 3, 369-393.
Brown, B.G., R.W. Katz and A.H. Murphy, 1984: Exploratory analysis
of precipitation with implications for stochastic modeling. Journal
of Climate and Applied Meteorology, 24, 57-67.
Brown, B.G., R.W. Katz and A.H. Murphy, 1984: Time series models
to simulate and forecast wind speed and wind power. Journal of Climate
and Applied Meteorology, 23, 1184-1195.
Murphy, A.H. and B.G. Brown, 1985: A comparative evaluation of
objective and subjective weather forecasts in the United States.
In Behavioral Decision Making, G. Wright, Editor. Plenum Publishing
Corporation, 329-359.
Brown, B.G., R.W. Katz and A.H. Murphy, 1986: On the economic value
of seasonal-precipitation forecasts: The fallowing/planting problem.
Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 67, 833-841.
Brown, B.G. and A.H. Murphy, 1987: Quantification of uncertainty
in fire-weather forecasts: Some results of operational and experimental
forecasting programs. Weather and Forecasting, 2, 190-205.
Brown, B.G., 1988: Climate variability and the Colorado River Compact:
Implications for responding to climate change. In Societal Responses
to Regional Climatic Change. M.H. Glantz, Editor. Boulder, Colorado,
Westview Press, 279-305. Brown, B.G. and A.H. Murphy, 1988: The
economic value of weather forecasts in wildfire suppression mobilization
decisions. Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 18, 1641-1649.
Murphy, A.H., B.G. Brown and Y.-S. Chen, 1989: Diagnostic verification
of temperature forecasts. Weather and Forecasting, 4, 485-501.
Brown, B.G. and R.W. Katz, 1991: Use of statistical methods in
the search for teleconnections: Past, present, and future. In Teleconnections
Linking Worldwide Climate Anomalies: Scientific Basis and Societal
Impact. M.H. Glantz, R.W. Katz, and N. Nicholls, Editors, Cambridge
University Press, Cambridge, 371-400.
Brown, B.G. and R.W. Katz, 1995: Regional analysis of temperature
extremes: Spatial analog for climate change? Journal of Climate,
8, 108-119.
Brown, B.G. and A.H. Murphy, 1996: Improving forecasting performance
by combining forecasts: The example of road-surface temperature
forecasts. Meteorological Applications, 3, 257-265.
Brown, B.G., G. Thompson, R.T. Bruintjes, R. Bullock and T. Kane,
1997: Intercomparison of in-flight icing algorithms. Part II: Statistical
verification results. Weather and Forecasting, 12, 890-914.
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