| Project Scientist
303-497-2849
ericg ucar.edu
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Job Duties
Researching methods for verification of high-resolution (spatial) forecasts. Looking at statistical models for determining how large-scale indicators of severe weather are changing under future climate. Maintaining the extreme value analysis R packages, extRemes and ismev.
Education
B.A., University of Colorado, 1996, mathematics
M.S., Arizona State University, 1998, statistics
Ph.D., Colorado State University, 2005, statistics
Publications
Gilleland, E., 2011: Spatial Forecast Verification: Baddeley's Delta Metric Applied to the ICP Test Cases, Wea. Forecasting, 26 (3), 409--415.
Gilleland, E. and Katz, R.W., 2011: New software to analyze how extremes change over time. Eos, 11 January, 92 (2), 13--14. (pdf)
de Oliveira, M.M.F., N.F.F. Ebecken, J.L.F. de Oliveira and E. Gilleland, 2010: Generalized extreme wind speed distributions in South America over the Atlantic Ocean region, Theor. Appl. Climatol., (in press, available online here), DOI 10.1007/s00704-010-0350-3.
Gilleland, E., D.A. Ahijevych, B.G. Brown and E.E. Ebert, 2010: Verifying Forecasts Spatially. Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc., October, 1365--1373.
Gilleland, E., J. Lindström, and F. Lindgren, 2010. Analyzing the image warp forecast verification method on precipitation fields from the ICP. Wea. Forecasting, 25 (4), 1249--1262.
Heaton, M.J., M. Katzfuss, S. Ramachandar, K. Pedings, E. Gilleland, E. Mannshardt-Shamseldin, and R.L. Smith, 2010: Spatio-Temporal Models for Large-scale Indicators of Extr
eme Weather. Environmetrics, 22, 294--303.
Towler, E., B. Rajagopalan, E. Gilleland, R.S. Summers, D. Yates, and R.W. Katz, 2010: Modeling hydrologic and water quality extremes in a changing climate. Water Resources Research, 46, W11504, doi:10.1029/2009WR008876.
Ahijevych, D., E. Gilleland, B.G. Brown, and E.E. Ebert, 2009. Application of spatial verification methods to idealized and NWP gridded precipitation forecasts. Wea. Forecasting, 24 (6), 1485--1497.
Gilleland, E., D. Ahijevych, B.G. Brown, B. Casati, and E.E. Ebert, 2009. Intercomparison of Spatial Forecast Verification Methods. Wea. Forecasting, 24, 1416--1430, DOI: 10.1175/2009WAF2222269.1.
Abeysirigunawardena, D.S., E. Gilleland, D. Bronaugh, 2009. Extreme wind regime responses to climate variability and change in the inner-south-coast of British Columbia Canada. Atmosphere-Ocean, 47(1):41--61.
Gilleland, E., T.C.M. Lee, J. Halley Gotway, R.G. Bullock, and B.G. Brown, 2008. Computationally efficient spatial forecast verification using Baddeley's Δ image metric. Mon. Wea. Rev. 136(5):1747--1757.
Gilleland E and TL Fowler, 2006: Network design for verification of ceiling and visibility forecasts, Environmetrics 17(6), 575-589.
Gilleland E, D Nychka, and U Schneider, 2006: Spatial models for the distribution of extremes, Hierarchical modelling for the Environmental Sciences: statistical methods and applications, Edited by JS Clark and A Gelfand. Oxford University Press, New York pp.170--183. ISBN 0-19-8569671.
Gilleland, Eric and Doug Nychka, 2005: Statistical Models
for Monitoring and Regulating Ground-level Ozone, Environmetrics, 16, 535-546.
Stephenson A and E Gilleland, 2005: Software for the Analysis of Extreme Events: The Current State and Future Directions, Extremes, 8, 87-109.
Technical Notes
Gilleland, E., L. Chen, M. DePersio, G. Do, K. Eilertson, Y. Jin, E.L. Kang, F. Lindgren, J. Lindström, R.L. Smith, and C. Xia, 2011. Spatial Forecast Verification: Image Warping. NCAR Technical Note, TN-482+STR, 23pp.
Gilleland, E., 2010: Confidence intervals for forecast verification. NCAR Technical Note NCAR/TN-479+STR, 71pp.
Book Chapters
Brown, B.G., Gilleland, E. and Ebert, E.E., 2012. Chapter 6: Forecasts of spatial fields. pp. 95--117, Forecast Verification: A Practitioner's Guide in Atmospheric Science, 2nd edition. Edts. IT Jolliffee and DB Stephenson, Wiley, Chichester, West Sussex, UK, 274 pp.
Gilleland, E., D.W. Nychka, and U. Schneider, 2006. Spatial models for the distribution of extremes, Hierarchical modelling for the Environmental Sciences: statistical methods and applications, Edts. JS Clark and A Gelfand. Oxford University Press, New York pp.170--183. ISBN 0-19-8569671
Preprints:
Gilleland E and RW Katz, 2006: "Analyzing seasonal to interannual extreme weather and climate variability with the extremes toolkit (extRemes)", 18th Conference on Climate Variability and Change, 86th American Meteorological Society (AMS) Annual Meeting, 29 January - 2 February, 2006, Atlanta, Georgia. P2.15
Gilleland, Eric, 2004: Optimizing METAR Network Design for Verification
of Cloud Ceiling Height and Visibility Forecasts, Preprints, 15th
annual conference of the International Environmetrics Society and
the 6th international symposium on Spatial Accuracy Assessment in
Natural Resources and Environmental Sciences, Portland, ME, 28 Jun
- 1 Jul.
Gilleland, Eric, 2004: Improving forecast verification through
network design, Preprints, American Meteorological Society: 17th
Conference on Probability and Statistics in the Atmospheric Sciences,
Seattle, WA, 11-15 Jan, 2.5
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